Regardless of our opinions of the dynamics, the reality is that there is far more supply (operators) than demand (validators), and no matter our fee policy, it’s impossible to produce sustainability for our current operator set without 1) increasing demand, or 2) extended subsidies (very unlikely).
With that said, if we want to examine this from a theory angle, what you’re describing are standard price discovery dynamics of an oversupplied market, which have been thoroughly studied. There are indeed pitfalls that can cause market breakdowns in certain known specific conditions (e.g., monopolies, unique advantages, etc.), but I don’t see anything about SSV’s market that satisfies those conditions. That’s not to say that there won’t be many operators forced to shut down and maybe some challenging market conditions before the supply/demand equalizes, but I think this is well-understood territory that points to a good (albeit temporarily painful) outcome.
Operators can operate at a loss and try to play games like what you described, but if their motive is profit, they can’t do so permanently. I know you’ve seen markets where this was sustained for a long time (and SSV has been one of them), but inevitably it will correct. Unprofitable operators will eventually quit until supply/demand is balanced. Since it’s already been over a year in this state and the reality of the excess supply is becoming apparent, I don’t think it will take much longer to see change. And we can try to support (maybe even encourage) operators’ shutdown (e.g., I know some are concerned that they have some validators running on them, and we should help them to gracefully exit and mitigate customer impacts).
The only way this won’t resolve to ~equilibrium is if there’s somehow a massive endless stream of new operators that foolishly join when few are profitable, attempt to undercut, fail, and leave, creating a perpetual cycle of failure with no room for anyone to grow. But we don’t seem to be seeing this pattern now, so there’s no reason to believe it will happen. And we have enough tools to steer away from that outcome: better cluster selection tools that emphasize long-term performance and trust, better operator data, simply advising new potential operators that they shouldn’t join, or even temporarily closing public operator registration if it comes to that.